Chapter 10

Nature: forests growing, bison back, water scarce

Forest cover has grown without interruption since the war, Poland has the world's largest bison population, one of Europe's largest wolf populations and the continent's last primeval lowland forest. The weak points are concrete: water per head under half the EU average, afforestation collapsed, farmland birds in retreat.

Poland's nature has hard numbers that hold up against Europe: 29.6% of the country under forest (1945: 20.8%), over 80% of forests public and open to all, 39.6% of land under protection against 26.6% on average in the EU, 23 national parks visited by 16 million people a year, and the lowest share of threatened bird species in the Union. The strongest card is the large mammals — bison, wolf, lynx, bear, beaver and elk — whose populations have multiplied since 2000. The dark sides are shown by the same method: the water deficit, the Oder disaster and the collapse of afforestation.

Fig. 10.1

The forest recovery curve: forest cover 1945 → 2024

Share of forests in the country's area, %, 1945–2024 (Statistics Poland, geodetic area)

The forest recovery curve: forest cover 1945 → 202420%22.5%25%27.5%30%32.5%35%2050 target: 33%1945199520002005201020152020202220232024Poland 29.6%1945: 20.8% — 6.5 m ha
  • 20.8% (1945) → 29.6% (2024): +2.8 m ha of forest; 9.29 m ha; government target 33% by 2050
  • 80.9% of forests are public, 77.0% managed by the State Forests — open to all; 0.248 ha of forest per inhabitant
  • By the FAO definition: 31.1% (EU: 40.0%) — 7th in the EU by absolute forest area (9.5 m ha)

One graphic tells both the success and the slowdown: since the war forest cover has risen by almost nine percentage points, but since 2020 the curve has been flat. Polish forests are overwhelmingly common property and universally accessible — a rarity in Western Europe, where private forests dominate.

Why the curve stalled is shown by the chapter's last chart: the afforestation programme has practically expired.

Fig. 10.2

How much of Europe is protected: terrestrial protected areas in the EU

Terrestrial protected areas, % of land area, 2024 (World Bank / WDPA), selected EU countries

How much of Europe is protected: terrestrial protected areas in the EUBulgaria44.3%Poland39.6%Germany39.3%Luxembourg38.7%Cyprus38.6%Croatia38.4%Slovakia37.5%Greece35.0%Austria29.6%France28.6%Spain28.1%EU2726.6%EU: 26.6%
  • Poland 39.6% of land area (World Bank, 2024) vs 26.6% on average in the EU and 16.4% worldwide — 2nd in the Union after Bulgaria
  • National definition (Statistics Poland): 32.2% of the country under legal protection; Natura 2000: 19.6% (EU: 18.6%); 23 national parks = 1.0% of the country

In Europe's top tier: by share of protected areas Poland trails only Bulgaria in the Union. There are 2,699 m² of protected land per inhabitant — most in Warmia-Masuria (8,385 m²), least in Silesia (608 m²); the record holder is the Holy Cross region with 65% of its area under protection.

The Natura 2000 network (1,003 sites) covers 19.6% of the country — slightly above the EU norm, not at its top. The 23 national parks are only 1% of the area but draw 16.4 million visitors a year; the Tatra park alone receives nearly one in three of them.

Fig. 10.3

The great return: bison, wolf, lynx and bear 2000 → 2024

Numbers of selected protected species in Poland, individuals, 2000–2024 (Statistics Poland after GDOŚ; bison per the Pedigree Book)

The great return: bison, wolf, lynx and bear 2000 → 202401,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0002000200520102015202020232024Wolf 5,110European bison 3,060Lynx 636Brown bear 404European bisonWolfLynxBrown bear
  • Bison 715 → 3,060 (×4.3) — the world's largest population; wolf 1,086 → 5,110 (×4.7); bear 118 → 404 (×3.4); lynx 285 → 636 (×2.2)
  • Beaver 24,500 → 156,500 (×6.4); elk 18,600 (2015) → 45,700 (2025), +146%; wild boar 264,800 → 59,800 (−77%, ASF)

The strongest card of Polish nature is its large mammals. The European bison — a species extinct in the wild in 1919 — numbers 3,060 in Poland today, more than anywhere in the world; the Bison Pedigree Book has been kept in Poland continuously since 1947. Wolf and lynx rebounded precisely after protection (1998 and 1995), bear and beaver after 1952; the elk, almost exterminated after the war, is today one of Central Europe's most spectacular comebacks.

The only large mammal in clear decline is the wild boar: −77% in a decade, the effect of African swine fever and sanitary culling.

Fig. 10.4

From the Baltic to the Tatras: nature in six numbers

Parks, coast, mountains, birds

From the Baltic to the Tatras: nature in six numbers23national parks314,294 ha = 1.0% of the country; 16.4 mvisitors (2024)19.6%of the country in the Natura 2000networkEU: 18.6%; 1,003 sites687 kmof Baltic coastlineRysy 2,499 m; Hańcza 108.5 m — the deepestlake of the European Lowland141,885 haBiałowieża Forest (UNESCO)Europe's last primeval lowland forest; about25% of the world's bison10%of bird species threatenedthe lowest in the whole EU (2024)2,699 m²of protected area per inhabitantHoly Cross region: 65% of its area protected
  • Białowieża Forest — Poland's only natural UNESCO site (141,885 ha on both sides of the border), Europe's last primeval lowland forest, about 900 bison
  • Share of threatened bird species: 10% — the lowest in the EU (Estonia 41%, Denmark about 35%); 87–100 m breeding pairs a year; crane ×3 since 2001, white stork stable (97.9% of survey plots)

Poland is a lowland country with a narrow but very high mountain accent: over half its area lies between 100 and 199 m above sea level, land above 500 m is 3% of the country — and one peak reaches 2,499 m. In between: 687 km of coast, thousands of lakes, Central Europe's largest peat bogs on the Biebrza, and Białowieża Forest, Poland's only natural UNESCO site.

The birdlife surprises most: the share of species threatened with extinction is the lowest in the whole Union, and the crane has tripled in a quarter-century. The shadow of that story — farmland birds — is shown in the last chart.

Fig. 10.5

At the EU's tail end: water per inhabitant

Renewable freshwater resources per inhabitant, m³ a year, 2021, selected EU countries

At the EU's tail end: water per inhabitantFinland19,311 m³Sweden16,417 m³EU273,047 m³Spain2,344 m³Romania2,216 m³Poland1,449 m³Germany1,286 m³Czechia1,252 m³Hungary623 m³
  • Poland: 1,449 m³ of renewable freshwater per inhabitant a year vs 3,047 m³ on average in the EU (2021) — less than half
  • Not last in the EU: lower are Germany (1,286), Czechia (1,252), Hungary (623); in dry years resources fall below 40 bn m³
  • Oder 2022: about 360 tonnes of dead fish — the largest ecological disaster on a Polish river this century (a “golden alga” bloom favoured by salinity)

Statistics Poland says it plainly: “Poland is counted among countries poor in water resources.” Average resources are about 60 bn m³ a year — France has 206 bn, Sweden 184 bn — and in dry years they fall below 40 bn. The honest thesis is “at the EU's tail end”, not “lowest in the EU”: Germany, Czechia and Hungary have less.

The Oder disaster of summer 2022 — about 360 tonnes of dead fish, a toxic golden-alga bloom in a salinised river — showed how fragile the system is.

Fig. 10.6

The collapse of afforestation and the retreat of farmland birds

Area of afforestation of non-forest land in Poland, thousand ha a year

The collapse of afforestation and the retreat of farmland birds0 k ha10 k ha20 k ha30 k ha15.6 k ha26.5 k ha0.9 k ha199520032024
  • Afforestation of non-forest land: 15,600 ha (1995) → a record 26,500 ha (2003) → 900 ha (2024), −94%
  • Farmland bird index (FBI, 2000 = 1.00): 0.76 in 2024 — near its historical low; forest birds: 1.28 (EU: 0.69 and 1.05)

The chapter's sharpest dark spot. The national afforestation programme, adopted in 1995, planted 270,700 ha in 1996–2024 — but in 2024 only 900 ha, thirty times less than in the record year 2003. The 33% forest-cover target for 2050 is unreachable at this pace.

The second shadow is the fields: the common farmland bird index has fallen by a quarter since 2000 — more slowly than the EU average, but in an unmistakably bad direction — while forest birds are gaining faster than anywhere in the Union.

Fig. 10.7

Where the forest grows: from 49.5% of the area in Lubusz to 21.4% in the Łódź region

Forest cover — share of forest area in total area by voivodeship, %, 2024

Where the forest grows: from 49.5% of the area in Lubusz to 21.4% in the Łódź region28.6%Lesser Poland32.1%Silesia25.8%Greater Poland35.9%West Pomerania49.5%Lubusz30.0%Lower Silesia26.7%Opole region23.5%Kuyavia-Pomerania31.9%Warmia-Masuria34.2%Pomerania21.4%Łódź region28.3%Holy Cross23.5%Lublin region38.4%Subcarpathia31.3%Podlaskie23.4%Mazovia21.4%49.5%forest coverVOIVODESHIPS, 2024Lubusz49.5%Subcarpathia38.4%West Pomerania35.9%Pomerania34.2%Silesia32.1%Warmia-Masuria31.9%Podlaskie31.3%Lower Silesia30.0%Lesser Poland28.6%Holy Cross28.3%Opole region26.7%Greater Poland25.8%Kuyavia-Pomerania23.5%Lublin region23.5%Mazovia23.4%Łódź region21.4%Poland overall29.7%
  • Forest cover (share of forests in total area), 2024: Poland 29.7%; Lubusz 49.5%, Subcarpathia 38.4%, West Pomerania 35.9%, Pomerania 34.2%; Łódź region 21.4%, Mazovia 23.4%, Kuyavia-Pomerania and the Lublin region 23.5%
  • Year-on-year changes are minimal (±0.1 pt) — the country's forest cover has grown by about 0.1 pt a year since the 1990s (chapter 10, the forest-recovery curve)
  • The most wooded are the western and northern lands and the Carpathians; the least — the agricultural centre of the country

Poland's forest is not spread evenly: the western edge of the country (Lubusz — almost half its area), West Pomerania and the Carpathians are wooded like Scandinavia, while central, agricultural Poland — the Łódź region, Mazovia, Kuyavia, the Lublin region — barely one-fifth. This is largely a legacy of soil geography (sands and mountains under forest, loess and black earth under the plough) and of post-war afforestation in the western lands.

The map is almost motionless: year-on-year differences fit within a tenth of a point, and national forest cover grows slowly but persistently, from 21% in 1945 to almost 30% today.

Fig. 10.8

Two Polands that do not overlap: the poorest region, Holy Cross, protects 65% of its area

Share of legally protected areas of special natural value in the voivodeship's area, %, as of 31 Dec 2024

Two Polands that do not overlap: the poorest region, Holy Cross, protects 65% of its area53.3%Lesser Poland21.1%Silesia29.6%Greater Poland22.0%West Pomerania37.5%Lubusz18.7%Lower Silesia27.6%Opole region32.2%Kuyavia-Pomerania46.8%Warmia-Masuria31.2%Pomerania19.6%Łódź region65.0%Holy Cross22.5%Lublin region44.9%Subcarpathia31.6%Podlaskie30.0%Mazovia18.7%65.0%legally protected areaVOIVODESHIPS, 2024Holy Cross65.0%Lesser Poland53.3%Warmia-Masuria46.8%Subcarpathia44.9%Lubusz37.5%Kuyavia-Pomerania32.2%Podlaskie31.6%Pomerania31.2%Mazovia30.0%Greater Poland29.6%Opole region27.6%Lublin region22.5%West Pomerania22.0%Silesia21.1%Łódź region19.6%Lower Silesia18.7%Poland overall32.2%
  • Share of legally protected areas in the voivodeship's area, 2024: Poland 32.2%; Holy Cross 65.0%, Lesser Poland 53.3%, Warmia-Masuria 46.8%, Subcarpathia 44.9%; Lower Silesia 18.7%, Łódź region 19.6%, Silesia 21.1%
  • Over 10.1 m ha under protection nationwide (10,485 sites), 2,699 m² per inhabitant; protected-landscape areas are 68.5% of the total, landscape parks 24.9%, national parks 3.1%, nature reserves 1.8%
  • The nature-protection map inverts the GDP map: the oldest and one of the poorest regions (chapter 15) has the most protected nature, and the richest, Lower Silesia — the least

The most interesting counterpoint in the whole set of maps. Holy Cross — demographically the oldest and one of the poorest voivodeships — protects two-thirds of its area (the Holy Cross Mountains, the Nida basin), Lesser Poland over half; Lower Silesia, one of the richest regions and the one with the most listed monuments, protects less than one-fifth. Natural wealth and economic wealth are thus distributed along different axes in Poland — an argument against reading the country in one dimension.

The numbers refer to area covered by any form of protection; two-thirds of it is protected-landscape area with a light regime, and national parks are 3% of the total (chapter 10, the chart “How much Europe protects”).